Quick answer
Change fails when a person, or a team, is treated as one decision-maker. We’re each a “self-collective”: a nest of habits, identities and competing needs. Wayshaping is the theory that treating people this way, rather than as a nest of competing needs, is the real problem, not a lack of motivation, and it reframes leading change as realigning that collective (James, Jamaluddin, Froese, Belhadi, Panagiotou and Snowden).
Four moves keep change from stalling:
- Wayfind: When the plan no longer fits the context, adjust the route rather than forcing the original one.
- Surface the conflict: When needs are pulling against each other, name the competing demand instead of pushing harder.
- Build the reminder in: When today’s intention can’t reach tomorrow’s moment of choice, use scaffolds and environmental cues to do the reminding.
- Match the support to the moment: Use steady scaffolds for fragile patterns, sharper shocks for entrenched ones.
The key shift: Don’t try to make people want it more. Diagnose which coordination problem is in the way, and build the structure that resolves it.
Please note: Wayshaping is a working hypothesis from an active research programme, not an established, validated technique. Its own authors are explicit that empirical testing of these mechanisms is still ahead of them. This is my summary of the ideas and I am no way related to the work or authors. I am just trying to make sense of this as a facilitator and coach and sharing my understanding. Article written by Andi Roberts with scaffolding support from AI. Image is drawn by the author.
The gap between what people intend to do and what they actually do is not just a leadership frustration. It is one of the most consistently measured findings in behavioural psychology. Paschal Sheeran’s meta-analysis of ten prior meta-analyses, covering 422 studies and over 82,000 participants, found that intentions account for only 28% of the variance in whether people go on to act. A room can align fully behind a strategy, genuine buy-in included, and the new behaviour still evaporates within weeks. The usual explanations (resistance, lack of accountability, weak follow-through) treat this as a motivation problem: push harder, remind more often, tie it to a KPI. The research suggests that this style of diagnosis is largely wrong.
That’s because most models of change assume a person (or a team) is a single agent: Form the intention, then either execute it or fail to, with failure explained by insufficient willpower or inadequate incentives. If that model were right, more reminders and better incentive design would have solved this by now. Unfortunately they haven’t, because the model is missing the actual architecture of the people you’re trying to help change.
A 2025 interdisciplinary paper, spanning the Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology, the Center for Conscious Leadership and Dave Snowden’s Cynefin Co, offers a different account, called Wayshaping. Its starting premise is strange but useful for anyone leading change: a person is not one thing. A person is a collective. Leading change well means learning to work with that collective, not around it.
The person you’re trying to help change is not one decision-maker
Wayshaping draws on embodied cognitive science showing that biological agents are themselves made of parts that act like agents. A cell coordinates with other cells to form tissue, and the tissue, once formed, constrains what the cells can do next. The same nested structure runs all the way up: cells to organs, organs to the organism, habits to identities, identities to social roles.
The framework calls this the self-collective: a person understood as a network of adaptive agents operating across four levels (biological, psychological, social, existential) and multiple scales of time, from momentary habits to enduring identities. Each level cares about something different (biological: energy and safety; social: belonging and status; existential: integrity and meaning), and each speaks through its own sensorimotor, affective and linguistic patterns.
Here’s why this matters the moment you’re trying to lead someone else’s change. The person’s stated intention lives at one node of this network, usually the linguistic, existential level, the “yes, I’m committed to this”, while the behaviour you want changed is enacted by other nodes entirely, often the psychological or sensorimotor level, reinforced by years of entrainment. When someone says they’re committed and then doesn’t follow through, the gap you’re seeing isn’t a character flaw. It’s a coordination gap between levels of the same person, and your leadership task is to help close it, not to relitigate their sincerity.
This reframing changes what “supporting change” means. You’re not a cheerleader for someone’s willpower. You’re closer to a systems designer, helping identify which part of the system is actually blocking the behaviour and what structure would resolve it.
Why the change you’re supporting keeps stalling: three coordination challenges
Wayshaping breaks the intention-action gap into three interdependent coordination challenges. Each shows up differently when you’re the one leading or supporting the change, and each points to a different tool in the toolkit below.
1. Non-linearity: The plan you agreed on doesn’t match the context anymore
Complex systems don’t behave proportionally or predictably. A small shift in context can produce an outsized change in behaviour; the same intervention lands differently depending on when and where it’s tried; and combining two changes at once can interact in ways neither would alone. When you’re leading change, this shows up as the plan that made complete sense in the kick-off meeting quietly ceasing to fit reality by week three (workload has shifted, a key person has left, priorities have moved and so on), while everyone is still being held to the original plan as if nothing changed.
2. Alignment: The person or team is being pulled in genuinely different directions
This is often the real story behind “they know what to do, they’re just not doing it.” The self-collective’s regulatory demands can conflict: a team’s psychological-level need for stability may compete with a social-level need to look responsive, or an individual’s existential-level desire to do meaningful work may collide with a biological-level exhaustion that no motivational town-hall will resolve. When you push on the stated intention without addressing the competing demand underneath it, you get compliance in the room and reversion afterwards.
3. Anticipation: the moment of decision won’t have access to today’s motivation
Even with genuine alignment, there’s a third problem. The person who agreed to the change in your meeting is coordinating with a future version of themselves who won’t have your meeting’s clarity, energy or social pressure available to them. Handing someone an instruction to “remember” is asking them to supply, unaided, the exact resource that’s least reliable in the moment.
The toolkit: eight tools for leading and supporting change
These are the tools worth knowing, in order to be able to reach for them by name when you’re actively helping someone else’s change effort: a direct report, a team, an organisation, or possibly yourself in the role as a change lead. Resist the urge to use them as a single-pass diagnostic funnel, rather, locate the one true problem, deploy the appropropriate supporting tool and wait for the result. When things are messier, run two or three small, different moves (probes?) at once (a scaffold here, a stigmergic trace there) and let what amplifies or fizzles tell you which coordination challenge you were actually dealing with. Each tool below is written as a menu of things to try, not a mandatory sequence.
1. The self-collective (you’re not just one person)
What it is: A way of explaining why someone can genuinely want to change and still not change. They’re not one single decision-maker. They’re more like four different versions of themselves that don’t always agree: a biological self (energy, safety, sleep), a psychological self (confidence, sense of who they are), a social self (belonging, reputation), and an existential self (meaning, values, what matters most). Each of these can care about something different, and they don’t necessarily stay in sync, especially when under pressure or over time.
Why it matters for leading change: Most stuck change efforts aren’t a willpower problem. They’re a mismatch problem: the leader is offering support aimed at the wrong version of the person. A pep talk about the mission (existential) does nothing for someone who’s simply exhausted (biological). A new incentive scheme (social) does nothing for someone who’s quietly lost confidence in their own ability to do the new thing (psychological). Before you try to fix anything, it’s worth asking which of these four is actually driving the resistance, and how deep it runs.
It’s not just which self, it’s how deep it goes. Each of the four selves can show up as something fleeting, or something that’s become part of who a person is. The same issue needs a very different response depending on which it is:
| Self | A passing moment | A recurring pattern | A core part of who they are |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biological | Tired today, slept badly this week | Consistently low energy on a particular day or after a particular kind of week | An ongoing health condition or chronic fatigue |
| Psychological | Feeling insecure in this one meeting | Doubts their competence specifically around this kind of task | A longstanding belief, “I’m just not a numbers person” |
| Social | Worried what this particular room thinks of them right now | Feels like the outsider on this specific team | A long-held reputation or role across the wider organisation |
| Existential | Questioning whether today’s task matters | Losing sight of the point of this particular project | A deep, settled sense of purpose, or a core value being violated |
A fleeting version of any of these often resolves on its own, or with a small, temporary scaffold (see tool 5). A pattern that’s become part of who someone is won’t move with a temporary fix, it usually needs something more structural, and often more permanent. Treating a deep-rooted pattern as if it were just a bad day is one of the most common reasons support doesn’t land.
Four reasons these selves fall out of step:
| Pattern | What it means | What it looks like |
|---|---|---|
| Indirectness | You often can’t see how a bigger structure around you is shaping your own state, so you blame yourself instead of the structure | Someone burning out under a relentless team culture doesn’t think “this environment is unsustainable,” they think “I should be coping better,” which quietly makes things worse |
| Temporal lag | Change at one level takes real time to reach the others, sometimes a slow build you can’t see, sometimes a long delay after something you can see | Someone genuinely commits to leading differently, and it takes months, not days, for their daily habits to actually catch up. Or someone “suddenly” quits, but the real shift had been building quietly for a long time beforehand |
| Asynchrony | Different levels run at genuinely different speeds, not just delayed, but permanently out of step, and forcing them to match causes friction | Someone understands intellectually exactly what they need to do, instantly, but their habits or their team’s habits take far longer to catch up. The frustration of that gap is often exactly what makes people give up |
| Asymmetry | The four levels don’t have equal pull, which one wins depends on context, and it isn’t always the healthiest one | Someone overrides a genuine need for rest to avoid looking uncommitted in front of colleagues. The same asymmetry can also work in your favour: a strong enough sense of purpose can eventually pull the other three into line, even while they’re resisting it in the short term |
Trust decides whether these four dynamics help you or hurt you. Each one plays out very differently depending on whether people trust the process enough to stay with it:
| Pattern | With enough trust | Without enough trust |
|---|---|---|
| Indirectness | People can act without needing everything spelled out or proven in advance | People demand full visibility before doing anything, and coordination stalls waiting for proof that isn’t coming |
| Temporal lag | People keep going through a delay, believing the benefit will eventually show up | People give up too early, before the delayed result had any real chance to appear |
| Asynchrony | People stay coordinated even while moving at different speeds | Being out of step gets read as proof the whole thing is failing, triggering a premature correction or people quietly checking out |
| Asymmetry | People can tolerate deferring to a longer-term or higher-level goal, and stay open to signals from levels they might otherwise dismiss | People resist being asked to defer at all, and important signals from other levels get ignored |
Supercharge habit formation: Polyfunctionality and “Optimal Grip”
How do you get four different selves to stop pulling in opposite directions? You look for polyfunctional actions, behaviours that satisfy multiple selves across different levels at the exact same time.
The paper hypothesises that when a new action meets needs across several levels at once (e.g., boosting energy and building confidence and strengthening team connection), the self-collective achieves what phenomenologists call an “optimal grip.” Internal friction disappears, and the new behaviour is drastically more likely to become a permanent habit.
When designing a support or proposing a new way of working, ask: How many selves does this single action feed?
- Single-benefit actions are fragile: A new process that only satisfies an existential goal (“it’s good for company strategy”) while exhausting the biological self and triggering psychological insecurity will fail the moment willpower drops.
- Polyfunctional actions stick: A 10-minute outdoor walking check-in satisfies the biological self (movement and light), the psychological self (reduces stress), the social self (peer connection), and the existential self (moves the work forward). Because it satisfies multiple needs simultaneously, the system naturally wants to repeat it.
Problems don’t always look like problems. A mismatch between levels doesn’t always show up as visible strain. Often it gets quietly smoothed over, someone masks how they’re really doing, performs a version of themselves that fits what’s expected, or compensates in ways that look fine on the surface. This can hold things together in the short term, but it tends to build fragility underneath, and the eventual cost is usually higher for having been hidden. The absence of visible struggle isn’t proof that nothing’s wrong.
An experiment: Pick one recurring friction point on your team, something that keeps coming up despite people apparently trying to fix it. Ask two questions. First, which of the four selves does it most likely sit at, capacity or energy, confidence, belonging, or a genuine disagreement about what matters? Second, is this a passing moment, a recurring pattern, or something closer to a core part of who this person is? You don’t need to be certain on either, a rough answer to both is usually enough to stop you reaching for the wrong kind of fix.
Things to try (perhaps try more than one of these; there’s no fixed order):
- Get specific about the actual behaviour that isn’t changing. “Doesn’t do the weekly report” is useful. “Isn’t committed” isn’t. The clearer you are here, the easier everything else gets.
- Take a guess at which of the four selves is behind it, but hold it loosely rather than treating it as settled.
- Say your guess out loud to the person, and offer more than one option rather than presenting your first idea as the answer: “I wonder if it’s X, or maybe Y, does either of those feel true?”
- Try a small piece of support aimed at your best guess. If you’re genuinely unsure, try a second small thing aimed at a different guess too, rather than betting everything on being right the first time.
- Give it real time, more than feels comfortable. If the change is genuine but hasn’t shown up in daily behaviour yet, that’s not necessarily a sign it’s failing, it may just not have finished cascading through the other levels yet.
- If someone seems to understand what’s needed but still isn’t doing it, check whether you’re expecting their habits or their team to move at the same speed as their thinking. That mismatch is common, and pushing harder on the thinking won’t close it.
How to tell if it’s working: You won’t know right away, so don’t expect to. Come back to it after a couple of weeks and look for signs like these: is the person describing the problem differently now, in their own words, rather than just repeating what you said back to you? Has the conversation moved from defending the old behaviour to actually working on something new? And did the support you offered actually get used, or was it quietly ignored? Being ignored is often the clearest sign, in hindsight, that you aimed at the wrong thing.
Things to watch out for: Don’t turn this into telling someone what’s “really” going on for them (“this is actually an identity issue for you”). That comes across as presumptuous, and people shut down when they feel diagnosed rather than heard. Treat it as a question you work out together, not a verdict you hand down. Also watch your own habits: leaders who are comfortable talking about mission and values can easily miss that the real problem is something far more basic, like nobody on the team having had a proper night’s sleep in weeks. And watch how often you reach for this: if you’ve had several conversations about understanding the problem and none about trying anything, stop diagnosing and just try something small. One more thing worth knowing: when one person changes successfully, the people around them don’t always welcome it, a team or group that’s used to someone behaving a certain way can push back against the new version. But that’s not the only possible outcome, groups can and do adjust their own norms to accommodate a genuine change, and it’s worth actively inviting that
2. The relational change model and Estuarine Mapping
What it is: Sometimes someone has every reason to change, understands why it matters, genuinely wants to, and it still doesn’t happen. When that’s the case, the problem is usually sitting in one of three relational domains:
- Personal: Everything about the individual themselves, their actual capacity right now (energy, health, stress), the habits and sense of identity quietly pulling them back toward the old way, and the immediate surroundings of the task itself (tools, step count, defaults).
- Interpersonal: What the people around them are signalling, often without saying it out loud. What their manager actually rewards, what peers do, and what’s quietly tolerated.
- Ecological: Their relationship with the wider physical and natural world around them. Light, weather, commute, home life, or a pet’s routine, all of these shape capacity to act without anyone noticing.
A useful way to think about it: someone can want to eat better and still fail, not from a lack of willpower, but because they’re exhausted and the kitchen takes more effort than the vending machine (personal), everyone around them orders takeaway (interpersonal), and they work from a windowless home office with no natural light, so their energy is gone by mid-afternoon (ecological). None of that is about character. All of it is fixable.
Why it matters for leading change: When supporting someone else, it’s tempting to stop at the first explanation that comes to mind, usually personal (“they need to want it more”). But the real blocker is very often sitting somewhere you haven’t checked. A manager who quietly signals that the old way is still fine will undo any amount of personal motivation. A commute, a lack of daylight, or a home life bleeding into the workday can quietly drain the exact capacity a manager’s pep talk is trying to top up.
Mapping the landscape: Estuarine Mapping (Dave Snowden)
Once you’ve surfaced the factors across the three domains, how do you decide where to intervene? Dave Snowden and The Cynefin Co. developed Estuarine Mapping to solve this exact problem. Instead of trying to force a change by sheer willpower, you map the constraints shaping the situation onto a simple grid:
- Vertical Axis (Energy): How much energy/effort is required to shift this constraint?
- Horizontal Axis (Time): How long would it take to change?
To make the map actionable, you categorise your constraints into three types:
- Norms: What people care about, value, or feel motivated by (e.g., team psychological safety, career ambitions).
- Frames: The underlying habits, identities, and mindsets through which people make sense of things (e.g., “I’m not a technical person,” departmental silos).
- Structures: The physical, digital, and rule-based elements that enable or limit action (e.g., software tools, physical office layout, approval policies).
Plotting these constraints onto the grid reveals where your real leverage lies using two critical boundaries:
- The Counterfactual Line (Top-Right): Draws a border around things that require far too much time and energy to change right now (e.g., “overhauling company culture”). Trying to shift these head-on will burn out your team. Bracket them out and set them aside.
- The Volatile Line (Bottom-Left): Draws a border around things that shift so quickly and unpredictably that trying to anchor a habit to them won’t stick (e.g., “this week’s team mood”). They aren’t stable enough to be worth your effort.
- The Actionable Zone (The Sweet Spot): The area in between. These are constraints that require modest time and energy to alter, offering safe, realistic stepping stones to reshape the overall energy landscape.
These three places work in both directions. Most of the time you’ll use this to find out what’s blocking someone. But it’s also useful the other way round: before making a change yourself, ask how it might ripple outward across these domains. A change to your workload (personal) can shift team expectations (interpersonal) or bleed into family routines (ecological).
Things to try (explore these together in conversation, then map them on the grid):
Sit down with the person to walk through the domains open-endedly:
Personal:
- “What’s your actual energy and capacity like at the moment, separate from this one task?”
- “Is there anything going on, work or otherwise, taking more out of you than usual right now?”
- “Walk me through exactly what happens when you try to do this, step by step. Where does it get harder than it should?”
Interpersonal:
- “What do you think your manager actually cares about here, not what’s officially said, but what gets rewarded?”
- “If you did this and nobody around you did, how would that feel?”
- “Has anyone made this harder for you, even without meaning to?”
Ecological:
- “What’s your actual physical setup like when you’re trying to do this (daylight, noise, space)?”
- “Is there anything outside work, a commute, a routine at home, shaping how much you’ve got left for this?”
Running the Estuarine Map:
- Categorise your constraints: Group the factors you’ve surfaced into Norms (what matters/values), Frames (habits and identities), and Structures (physical tools, rules, and setups).
- Plot them on the grid: Place each factor on an Energy vs. Time to Change matrix together.
- Draw your boundaries: Draw the counterfactual line to rule out high-cost/high-time items (e.g., “changing organisational hierarchy”), and the volatile line to filter out unstable factors.
- Pick your stepping stones: Select 1–2 small, low-energy structural adjustments sitting in the actionable sweet spot (e.g., “pre-filling a checklist template” or “moving a daily meeting time”).
How to tell if it’s working: You and the person can point to a specific, actionable constraint on the map rather than relying on vague notions of “motivation”. Did fixing a small constraint in the actionable zone (a tool tweak, an explicit manager signal, a desk shift) produce movement without needing to push harder?
Things to watch out for: Don’t try to tackle factors beyond your counterfactual line, wasting energy on high-cost, high-time items creates frustration and erodes trust. Avoid turning the conversation into an interrogation; it’s a joint mapping exercise. Lastly, don’t let ecological factors become catch-all excuses, use them to find genuine, fixable constraints.
3. Wayfinding
What it is: Imagine two ways of getting somewhere unfamiliar. One is following a route planned in advance, head down, treating any wrong turn as a mistake. The other is reading the landscape as you go: noticing what’s changed, adjusting, finding your way rather than following a fixed line. Anthropologist Tim Ingold studied this second way and called it wayfinding, the difference being that navigation uses a map made in advance to get from A to B, while wayfinding builds the map as you go. Change works the same way. You rarely know the whole route in advance, and pretending you do just means the first surprise feels like failure.
Why it matters for leading change: Leaders often plan change the way you’d plan a flight: Fixed departure, fixed arrival, any deviation is a problem. But the people, workload, and priorities you planned around at the start won’t be the same three months later. If you hold everyone to the original plan anyway, people don’t push back; they just quietly stop mentioning when things have moved on, because raising it has already been treated as a failure.
Four specific ways “the plan doesn’t fit anymore” actually shows up: It’s easy to say the context has shifted, but it helps to know which of these you’re actually dealing with, since each calls for a slightly different response.
| Pattern | What it means | What it looks like |
|---|---|---|
| The situation keeps moving | The thing you’re trying to fix changes while you’re fixing it, so an approach that worked can simply stop working, through no fault of the approach | A process that worked well for six months suddenly needs constant firefighting, not because anyone did anything wrong, but because the team, workload, or context around it has quietly moved on |
| What worked for them won’t necessarily work for you | Individual patterns don’t reliably predict each other, even in very similar situations | A structure that worked brilliantly for one team falls flat on a seemingly identical one, and it’s not because either team is doing it wrong |
| Effort and results aren’t proportional | A lot of effort can look like nothing is happening for a long time, and then suddenly click. A small thing can produce an outsized shift | Weeks of apparently pointless one-to-ones suddenly produce a real breakthrough conversation. One offhand comment in a meeting changes more than months of formal process ever did |
| Combining things changes the outcome | Doing several small things together often produces a bigger, different result than doing them separately, and can spill over into things you weren’t even trying to change, for better or worse | Fixing a broken handoff and running a better retrospective at the same time produces a shift in morale nobody was specifically aiming for. Occasionally a well-meant fix in one area unexpectedly makes something else worse |
Don’t read “no visible progress” as proof nothing’s working; the effort-and-results row above is the specific reason why. Sometimes a long stretch of apparently flat effort is exactly what’s building toward a sudden shift.
Wayfinding in practice has three parts, not one:
| Part | What it is | What it looks like |
|---|---|---|
| Mapping | The open, exploratory part: reflecting on what’s happened, noticing what’s changed, working out what’s genuinely possible right now | Asking what’s shifted in the team or context before asking about progress, genuinely open-ended, not looking to confirm the existing plan |
| Cartography | Turning some of what mapping surfaced into actual structure | Setting a direction, building a checkpoint, creating a routine or a reminder based on what you’ve just noticed |
| Map-using | Actually following the structure day to day | Running the checkpoint, using the routine, sticking to the plan as it currently stands |
Most plans lean heavily on the last one, map-using, and treat it as the whole job. The paper this is drawn from is explicit that map-using on its own tends to become rigid, and works well only when it stays connected to the ongoing, open mapping that should come before and alongside it.
Not everything needs wayfinding. Some parts of a plan are genuinely simple and well understood, and don’t benefit from being treated as constantly up for renegotiation. If part of a change effort is essentially “we know exactly how to do this, we just need to do it,” treat it that way, save the wayfinding mindset for the parts that are genuinely uncertain. If you want a fuller way of telling these apart, this sits close to the Cynefin framework, which this article draws on directly.
Things to try:
- Be clear about what you actually need to achieve, and treat the specific plan for getting there as something you expect to change.
- Rather than fixing your sights on one big distant goal, break the journey into smaller, achievable points along the way. Each one gives you a natural moment to check whether you’re still headed the right way, and a chance to notice things you couldn’t see from further back.
- Build in real mapping time, not just progress check-ins, moments where the actual question is “what’s changed, and does this still make sense,” asked before anyone reports on progress.
- When something has clearly shifted, work out the next step with the people involved rather than deciding alone.
- Notice, out loud, when someone flags that something isn’t working anymore. That’s exactly the behaviour you want more of, not less.
- Sort the plan into what’s genuinely settled and well understood, and what’s genuinely uncertain. Only the second group needs the full wayfinding treatment.
How to tell if it’s working: You’ll usually see this over several weeks, not in a single conversation. Are people mentioning that things have shifted earlier and more openly, rather than staying quiet and just working around the plan? Does adjusting course start to feel normal rather than like admitting something went wrong? Have you kept moving in a sensible overall direction even though the specific plan has changed more than once? If people have stopped mentioning that things have moved on, that’s not a sign everything’s fine, it’s usually a sign they’ve concluded there’s no point raising it.
Things to watch out for: This isn’t a licence to have no plan and no accountability. It’s about holding a clear sense of direction while staying open about the exact path, not abandoning direction altogether. Watch for “we’re staying flexible” quietly turning into an excuse to avoid ever committing to anything you could be held to. And watch the opposite mistake too, treating something genuinely settled and well understood as if it needs constant reinvention wastes just as much energy as clinging to a plan that’s clearly stopped fitting.
4. Self-scaffolding
What it is: Most attempts to build a new habit rely on repeating it and rewarding yourself until it sticks. The trouble is, that approach is unreliable on its own, motivation and rewards come and go. Self-scaffolding is a more durable skill: noticing what kind of support a new behaviour actually needs, building it, and adjusting it as things change. Researcher Mark Bickhard argued that this ability, and helping other people develop it, sits close to the core of all human development. If tool 5 (Scaffolds) is about what to build, this is about who builds it, and whether they can build the next one themselves once you’re not there to help.
Why it matters for leading change: As a leader, your highest-value move is often not building the support for someone yourself, but helping them notice when their current support has stopped working and rebuild it themselves. Teams that only ever receive ready-made supports from leadership never develop this skill, and struggle the moment no one is there to design the next one for them. It’s worth holding a realistic expectation of what this actually achieves too: a well-designed scaffold doesn’t guarantee an outcome, it shapes the odds. Someone can do everything right here and still have it not work, that’s not proof the skill is being applied badly, it’s the nature of shaping probability rather than forcing a result.
Things to try (coaching moves to draw on, in whatever combination fits the moment):
- When something someone relies on stops working, resist jumping in to fix it straight away. Ask them to describe exactly what broke and when, and sit with not knowing the answer yourself for a moment.
- Invite more than one possible explanation: was it too weak, aimed at the wrong thing, or just badly placed in their day? Don’t settle for the first idea offered.
- Ask them to suggest a change themselves before you offer yours, even if you could clearly fix it faster.
- Let a genuinely different idea run for a set trial period, even one you’d have designed differently. The trial is the point, this is a small, safe-to-fail probe, not a one-shot decision, and it’s worth trying more than one small variation rather than betting everything on the first idea. My article on pilots, probes, and experiments goes deeper into this way of testing ideas under uncertainty.
- Share a time one of your own supports failed and how you changed it, so this looks like something everyone does, not something only strugglers need.
How to tell if it’s working: This builds slowly, so look for it across several instances rather than expecting to see it after one conversation. Over time: does the person start bringing you a problem along with a suggested fix, rather than just the problem? Do they start mentioning their own adjustments without being asked (“I moved my notes to right after lunch because mornings weren’t working”)? Are you spending less time designing things for people and more time hearing about what they’ve already tried? None of this appears quickly, if you’re looking for it after a single conversation, it’s too soon to tell. And remember what “working” actually means here, a good self-designed scaffold makes success more likely, it doesn’t guarantee it, so judge the skill by whether someone is building and adjusting sensibly, not only by whether any single attempt paid off.
Things to watch out for: Don’t wait until something completely breaks down before revisiting it, small adjustments made early beat a crisis rebuild later. And don’t quietly keep doing this thinking for people, that trains them to bring you problems instead of solutions. Also notice which way you’re leaning: if you never step in even when someone is genuinely stuck, that’s not coaching, it just looks like withheld support. And if you can’t remember the last time someone brought you their own fix rather than just a complaint, you’re probably still doing too much of this for them. One more risk worth knowing: piling on too many self-designed intentions or supports at once doesn’t just risk some of them failing, it can make the whole effort feel overwhelming enough that a person rejects it altogether, including the parts that were actually working. Fewer, better-placed supports beat a long list every time.
4. Self-scaffolding
What it is: Most attempts to build a new habit rely on repeating it and rewarding yourself until it sticks. The trouble is, that approach is unreliable on its own, motivation and rewards come and go. Self-scaffolding is a more durable skill: noticing what kind of support a new behaviour actually needs, building it, and adjusting it as things change. Researcher Mark Bickhard argued that this ability, and helping other people develop it, sits close to the core of all human development. If tool 5 (Scaffolds) is about what to build, this is about who builds it, and whether they can build the next one themselves once you’re not there to help.
Why it matters for leading change: As a leader, your highest-value move is often not building the support for someone yourself, but helping them notice when their current support has stopped working and rebuild it themselves. Teams that only ever receive ready-made supports from leadership never develop this skill, and struggle the moment no one is there to design the next one for them. It’s worth holding a realistic expectation of what this actually achieves too: a well-designed scaffold doesn’t guarantee an outcome, it shapes the odds. Someone can do everything right here and still have it not work, that’s not proof the skill is being applied badly, it’s the nature of shaping probability rather than forcing a result.
The kind of scaffold changes depending on how deep the change actually is. Tool 1 draws a line between a passing moment, a recurring pattern, and something that’s become part of who someone is. The same line matters here, coaching someone to build a sticky-note reminder is a very different job from coaching someone to rebuild how they see themselves:
| Depth | What’s being scaffolded | What coaching it looks like |
|---|---|---|
| A single habit | One recurring task or behaviour, remembering the checklist, sending the update | Quick, disposable fixes, a moved reminder, a changed default. Coaching is mostly “what broke, what would you try instead?” |
| A recurring pattern | A cluster of related behaviours that keep showing up together, always running late, always avoiding a certain kind of conversation | Needs a support that covers more ground than one fix, a standing check-in, a shared rule of thumb. Coaching starts asking what the pattern has in common, not just fixing the latest instance |
| Who they see themselves as | A belief about their own capability or identity, “I’m not someone who follows through,” “I always end up managing everyone else’s work” | Sticky notes and reminders won’t touch this. Coaching looks more like reflection, naming the belief out loud, and finding small, real evidence that contradicts it, rather than any single structural fix |
Most coaching conversations default to the top row, because it’s the easiest to act on. If the same problem keeps needing a fix, it’s worth checking whether it’s actually sitting in the bottom row instead.
This skill is worth coaching well beyond the one problem in front of you: Bickhard’s argument isn’t just that self-scaffolding helps with whatever habit is currently being built, it’s that the skill sits “at the core of essentially all domains” of development. In practice, that means someone who gets genuinely good at noticing a broken support and rebuilding it in one part of their work, their inbox, say, tends to get better at doing the same thing in completely unrelated areas too, their fitness, a difficult relationship, a different project entirely. That’s a real reason to invest coaching time here even when the specific problem in front of you feels small, the payoff isn’t confined to that one problem.
Things to try (coaching moves to draw on, in whatever combination fits the moment):
- When something someone relies on stops working, resist jumping in to fix it straight away. Ask them to describe exactly what broke and when, and sit with not knowing the answer yourself for a moment.
- Invite more than one possible explanation: was it too weak, aimed at the wrong thing, or just badly placed in their day? Don’t settle for the first idea offered.
- Check which row of the table above you’re actually in before choosing a fix. A recurring pattern treated like a one-off habit will keep needing the same fix on repeat.
- Ask them to suggest a change themselves before you offer yours, even if you could clearly fix it faster.
- Let a genuinely different idea run for a set trial period, even one you’d have designed differently. The trial is the point, this is a small, safe-to-fail probe, not a one-shot decision, and it’s worth trying more than one small variation rather than betting everything on the first idea. My article on pilots, probes, and experiments goes deeper into this way of testing ideas under uncertainty.
- Share a time one of your own supports failed and how you changed it, so this looks like something everyone does, not something only strugglers need.
How to tell if it’s working: This builds slowly, so look for it across several instances rather than expecting to see it after one conversation. Over time: does the person start bringing you a problem along with a suggested fix, rather than just the problem? Do they start mentioning their own adjustments without being asked (“I moved my notes to right after lunch because mornings weren’t working”)? Are you spending less time designing things for people and more time hearing about what they’ve already tried? A genuinely good sign is the skill showing up somewhere you didn’t coach it at all, if someone starts applying the same noticing-and-rebuilding habit to something entirely unrelated to the original problem, that’s the transfer Bickhard’s argument predicts, and it’s worth naming when you see it. None of this appears quickly, if you’re looking for it after a single conversation, it’s too soon to tell. And remember what “working” actually means here, a good self-designed scaffold makes success more likely, it doesn’t guarantee it, so judge the skill by whether someone is building and adjusting sensibly, not only by whether any single attempt paid off.
Things to watch out for: Don’t wait until something completely breaks down before revisiting it, small adjustments made early beat a crisis rebuild later. And don’t quietly keep doing this thinking for people, that trains them to bring you problems instead of solutions. Also notice which way you’re leaning: if you never step in even when someone is genuinely stuck, that’s not coaching, it just looks like withheld support. And if you can’t remember the last time someone brought you their own fix rather than just a complaint, you’re probably still doing too much of this for them. One more risk worth knowing: piling on too many self-designed intentions or supports at once doesn’t just risk some of them failing, it can make the whole effort feel overwhelming enough that a person rejects it altogether, including the parts that were actually working. Fewer, better-placed supports beat a long list every time.
6. Shocks
What it is: Sometimes patterns are very entrenched and scaffolding alone won’t move it. This is the tool for that situation. A shock is a sharper, less controllable disruption that pushes a system past the point where gentle support can shift it, an offsite with real stakes, a hard structural change, a genuinely disruptive conversation. Cultures have used this deliberately for a very long time: Greek tragedy was designed to produce catharsis, Zen Buddhism uses koans to jolt the mind out of familiar patterns, and modern psychedelic-assisted therapy uses a carefully managed disruptive experience to break rigid, long-standing habits of thought.
Why it matters for leading change: Some patterns are too entrenched for scaffolding alone, a team culture, a long-standing habit, an outdated process nobody questions anymore. A well-placed shock can dislodge that in a way incremental nudges never will, the same way tilling breaks up compacted soil that’s grown resistant to anything new taking root. But a shock with no support around it just produces disorientation or damage, not learning. That’s the single most common failure mode in organisational change: leaders reach for disruption and forget the support has to be there before, during, and after.
Not every shock is a big one. It’s easy to picture “shock” as only the rare, dramatic kind, a reorg, a crisis, a make-or-break conversation. The framework this tool comes from is explicit that shocks exist on a spectrum, and the small, frequent end is just as real and far easier to use safely:
| Intensity | How often | What it looks like at work |
|---|---|---|
| Low | Can be used often, even daily or weekly | Cancelling a standing meeting for one week and seeing what actually needed it Putting the newest or most junior person in charge of running a session Asking “what would we do if we had to cut this in half” in a planning meeting Presenting a proposal in the opposite order to usual (conclusion first, then reasoning) Sitting in on a support call or sales call outside your own function Rotating who speaks first in a meeting instead of defaulting to seniority Deliberately inviting someone who will disagree into a decision that would otherwise go unchallenged |
| Medium | Weekly to monthly | A retrospective run by an outside facilitator with no stake in protecting anyone’s feelings Swapping two team members’ roles for a sprint A pricing or product decision forced through a live customer call rather than a deck A “kill the project” review where the default answer is stop, not continue Removing a manager from a decision entirely and letting the team own it end to end A structured pre-mortem: assuming the project has already failed and working backwards to find out why Publishing team performance data that’s normally kept private |
| High | Rare, often once a year or less | A genuine reorganisation or restructure Merging two teams that have operated separately for years Moving a leader into a function they’ve never worked in Announcing a strategy reversal that contradicts what was said publicly six months earlier Shutting down a product or business line that people have built careers around Replacing a long-standing, trusted process with something unproven, all at once, rather than in a pilot A leadership change announced with no transition period |
The high-intensity kind is what most of the rest of this tool focuses on, because it’s the one with real risk attached. But if you only ever reach for that end of the table, you’re missing most of what this tool can do.
Try this: The framework this tool comes from actually plots real shocks this way, on intensity and frequency, specifically to build better intuition for when to use which kind. It’s worth doing the same for your own team: list three or four disruptions you could realistically use at each level, in your own context, before you need one. Deciding this in the abstract, when nothing’s on fire, produces much better judgement than reaching for whatever comes to mind under pressure.
Before you commit (this applies to the high-intensity end of the table above; low-intensity shocks can be tried far more freely):
- Confirm scaffolding alone has genuinely been tried, more than once, and hasn’t moved this specific pattern. Don’t reach for a shock as a first move, or because it feels more decisive than patient support.
- Set the “set”: before the disruption, be clear, with yourself and with the people involved, about the intention behind it. What’s changing, and why.
- Build the “setting”: have real support ready to activate the instant the disruption lands, and keep it in place afterwards. There should be no gap between the shock and the support that follows it. This is the single most important thing separating a shock that produces growth from one that just produces damage.
- Size it to the system’s actual capacity to absorb disruption right now (workload, recent history, morale), not to how urgent it feels to you in the moment.
- Plan the debrief before you deliver the shock, not after. Decide what you’ll ask, and when, so the sense-making doesn’t get lost in the aftermath.
- Remember a shock doesn’t always have to be one you create. A bad quarter, an unexpected departure, an external crisis, these can all function as a shock that’s already happened. The question then isn’t whether to trigger one, it’s whether you’re scaffolding the one you’ve already got, or letting it go to waste.
How to tell if it’s working: Judge this mainly in the debrief and the weeks after, not in the immediate reaction, a shock is a single, high-stakes move, not something you can quickly repeat and adjust. Look for the entrenched pattern genuinely interrupted, not just quieter in the moment but visibly different weeks later, rather than a slow drift back to the old pattern once attention moves elsewhere. A good sign in hindsight: people can point to the support that helped them through it, rather than describing it as something that just happened to them. Right after a disruption, people are often unusually open to new structure, so if a scaffold was going to land, this is when you’ll see it start to take.
Things to watch out for: The biggest danger is treating a shock as a complete change strategy on its own, it’s only ever half the mechanism, and without support around it, it reliably produces reversion or damage rather than growth. Overused, shocks stop working: a system that’s constantly disrupted never gets the chance to consolidate anything, and each new one lands on a more depleted, less resilient team than the last. Underused, avoiding a genuinely needed shock out of a desire to be gentle leaves an entrenched pattern completely untouched, no matter how much scaffolding you layer around it, because scaffolding can’t move something that isn’t fragile to begin with. Two clear signals: if the team’s baseline stress never returns to normal between disruptions, you’ve overused this. If you’ve tried two or three well-designed scaffolds on the same pattern and none of them have moved it at all, that’s usually the sign you actually need one.
7. Stigmergy (leaving trails for your future self)
What it is: Tool 4 was about who builds the support. This tool is about a specific, very cheap kind of support: Coordinating with your future self, or someone else’s, indirectly, through a trace left behind, rather than directly, through an instruction that has to be remembered and acted on in the moment. The term comes from how ants and termites coordinate: They leave chemical trails that guide colony members toward useful places, with no direct message ever passed between them. Humans do this constantly without noticing. Sorting groceries into the fridge when you get home isn’t really about the groceries; it’s leaving a trace that makes tomorrow’s cooking easier before you’ve even thought about tomorrow.
Why it matters for leading change: The person you’re supporting won’t have your meeting’s clarity or motivation available to them at 4pm on a Thursday, when the old habit is easiest. Reminding them assumes a resource, recall and willpower in the moment, that’s exactly what’s unreliable. There’s a stronger version of this point worth knowing too: an intention that only ever exists as a thought in someone’s head is a fragile thing. It only really starts to do work once it’s been placed somewhere in the world, written down, built into a form, told to another person, where it can act on you before you’ve even consciously decided anything. Changing what’s easiest to do doesn’t just help with memory, it’s what makes an intention real in the first place.
Three kinds of trace, not just one. It’s easy to think of this as purely a physical or digital fix, changing a form, a default, a template. The idea is broader than that:
| Type of trace | What it is | What it looks like at work |
|---|---|---|
| Environmental | Changing the physical or digital surroundings so the new behaviour is the easier path | A pre-filled template, a changed default setting, a blocked shortcut to the old process, a reordered meeting agenda |
| Narrative | A story, plan, or commitment put into words, either told to someone else or written down, that constrains what you do later | An “if this happens, I’ll do that” plan agreed in advance (this is a well-studied technique called an implementation intention), a commitment stated out loud in a meeting, a decision written into a document others can see |
| Rehearsal | Practising something enough that the body carries the memory, not just the mind | Running through a difficult conversation out loud before having it, a team rehearsing a process before go-live, doing a dry run of a presentation in the actual room |
Things to try:
- Pick one behaviour you’ve been reminding people about more than twice. That repetition is itself a useful signal that a trace, not another message, is worth trying.
- Map the actual moment the old behaviour happens (which screen, which meeting, which decision point). The trace only works if it sits exactly there.
- Choose which type of trace fits: change something in the environment, put a specific commitment into words with someone else present, or have people rehearse the new behaviour rather than just being told about it.
- If you’re unsure which will work, try a couple of small variants in different places rather than committing everything to one.
- Once a trace is in place, drop the corresponding reminder for a stretch and see what actually happens. Running both at once tells you nothing about whether the trace alone would hold.
- Check the moment again after a week or two. Environments drift, and a trace that worked can quietly stop pointing where you intended.
How to tell if it’s working: The clearest evidence comes from removing the reminder, not from adding the trace. If the behaviour keeps happening once the reminder is gone, the trace is doing the work. Also worth noticing over time: does the behaviour start happening without anyone mentioning it at all? If you temporarily removed the trace itself, would you expect the old behaviour to come back, and does testing that, even briefly, confirm it?
Things to watch out for: Don’t confuse this with adding more signals. A workspace covered in reminders creates noise, not signal, and one well-placed structural change beats five nudges. Don’t use environmental design to avoid a conversation that genuinely needs to happen; it’s for reducing friction on something already agreed, not for engineering consent. And keep some perspective: a trace shifts what’s likely, it doesn’t guarantee anything. People can and do act against even a very well-placed trace, so don’t treat this as a substitute for someone actually being on board. Overused, an environment gets so thoroughly engineered towards one “right” path that people lose the ability to exercise judgement when a real exception comes up, the trace becomes a rut. Underused, you keep sending reminders for a behaviour that’s already failed the same way three times, when the pattern itself is telling you a structural trace is needed instead.
This connects quite well to Dr B J. Fogg’s work on habit change.
8. Rhythms and flows (working with time, not against it)
What it is: Every team and every person already has rhythms running, some are calendar landmarks like a sprint start or Monday standup, but there are two other kinds most people never think to use. A new behaviour attached to a rhythm that’s already running inherits its momentum. A new behaviour started from nothing has to generate all its own momentum, and rarely does. Think of a sailor who doesn’t fight the sea, they read the wind and current and use them. Working with existing rhythms is the same idea applied to change.
Why it matters for leading change: New behaviour anchored to an arbitrary moment (“starting whenever people are ready”) has nothing to attach to and no natural reset point when it lapses. New behaviour anchored to an existing rhythm gets a recurring, built-in moment to recommit every time it slips. There’s a sharper version of this worth knowing too: identities and roles work the same way. A newly promoted manager, a team taking on a new way of working, even a personal habit you’re proud of, all of these need to be regularly “fed” by some recurring rhythm, a check-in, a ritual, a recognition moment, or they quietly atrophy, even if nobody ever decided to abandon them.
Three kinds of rhythm, not just one. Most people only ever reach for the first:
| Type of rhythm | What it is | What it looks like at work |
|---|---|---|
| Calendar and social | Recurring moments in the shared schedule | Sprint starts, Monday standup, the first meeting after a launch, quarter boundaries |
| Physical and spatial | Moving across a literal threshold, a doorway, a change of room, sitting somewhere different, which naturally resets attention | Holding a difficult conversation in a different room than usual, standing up and moving before starting focused work, changing the room a decision gets made in to signal it’s being taken seriously |
| Biological | The body’s own energy and attention cycles, driven by specific, well-studied triggers, light, temperature, food, the presence of other people, physical activity, which you can work with or fight against | Scheduling a habit that needs willpower for someone’s known high-energy window rather than their post-lunch dip, using natural light or a short walk to reset a flagging afternoon meeting, timing a hard conversation for the morning if that’s when people are sharpest |
The first kind is easy to see and easy to use. The other two are usually ignored, and the biological one especially so, but a habit that fights someone’s actual energy pattern will lose to one that works with it, no matter how good the calendar timing is.
Try this: Audit before you attach – Before inventing a new threshold, spend ten minutes mapping what’s already there across all three types: what calendar moments already exist, what physical transitions people already move through in a normal day, and where the natural energy peaks and dips tend to fall. Most teams already have more usable rhythm than they realise, they just haven’t looked for it. The paper’s own advice here is to work with what’s already running before building something new from scratch.
Things to try (pick from this list rather than working through it in order):
- Attach the new behaviour to whichever threshold is closest in time and most relevant in content, and say so explicitly rather than letting it happen quietly.
- Ask, honestly, whether the rhythm you’re attaching to is one you can design around freely, or one you should respect instead. Someone’s actual energy levels aren’t up for negotiation the way a meeting schedule is.
- If you’re unsure which threshold will carry the behaviour, try it at one point and adjust based on what you notice. This isn’t a one-shot decision.
- When adoption lapses, treat the very next occurrence of that threshold as a legitimate reset point rather than waiting for a bigger symbolic moment, and say so out loud.
- Watch how many new behaviours are riding on the same threshold. If a second one seems to be crowding out the first, that’s worth noticing rather than pushing through.
- Remember a big symbolic threshold, a new quarter, a relaunch, a milestone, doesn’t just carry gentle momentum, it can work like tool 6’s shock: a real reset with disruptive power, not just a soft nudge. Use that deliberately when a bigger reset is genuinely what’s needed.
How to tell if it’s working: Watch across several cycles of the threshold, not just the first one. Does the behaviour start happening at the threshold without a separate announcement each time? When it lapses, does it self-correct at the next natural occurrence without you stepping in? Can you trace its adoption back to the specific threshold you attached it to, rather than a vague sense that “it eventually caught on”?
Things to watch out for: Don’t let “we’ll properly relaunch this next quarter” become the default response to a bad week, the delay itself is often what kills momentum. Don’t stack too many new behaviours onto a single threshold, each one has limited capacity to carry change, and overloading it shows up as the newest addition landing worse than the ones already there. Don’t try to override a genuinely biological rhythm through sheer willpower or scheduling, that’s a fight the rhythm usually wins. And don’t assume a new identity or way of working, once adopted, looks after itself, without some recurring rhythm to keep feeding it, even things people genuinely wanted tend to fade quietly.
Quick summary
The dynamics of change: how these forces move over time
Wayshaping is not a set of static boxes to file a problem into once and forget. It’s a living process. The value of the framework lies not in diagnosing a coordination challenge correctly on day one, but in noticing how challenges and tools interact and shift as the change effort unfolds. A pattern that started as a straightforward anticipation problem can curdle into an alignment problem three weeks later. A scaffold that was exactly right at launch can become the very thing preventing the pattern from ever becoming self-sustaining. Leadership here is the art of reading movement, not just taking a snapshot.
The cascade: how one coordination challenge quietly becomes another
The three coordination challenges rarely stay in their own lane. In practice, they cascade. A non-linearity problem, where the plan no longer fits a context that has moved on, left unaddressed, doesn’t just stay a planning problem. People start quietly working around a plan they’ve stopped believing in, while still nodding along in meetings. That’s no longer non-linearity; it’s now an alignment problem, because compliance in the room and behaviour on the ground have split into two different, competing demands (looking supportive versus doing what actually works).
An unresolved alignment problem, left to fester, becomes an anticipation problem: because nobody has been honest about the competing demand, no one designs a scaffold for it, so the moment of choice keeps arriving with no support at all, and the old behaviour wins by default every time. This matters practically because the temptation, when a change effort is failing months in, is to treat whatever is visible right now as the whole problem. If what’s visible is “people aren’t remembering to do the new thing”, it’s tempting to reach straight for a stigmergic fix, changing a default or adding a template. But if that anticipation-shaped symptom is actually the third stage of a cascade that started as an unaddressed alignment problem, the structural fix will quietly fail too, because the underlying competing demand was never resolved.
The leadership skill is asking not just “what challenge am I looking at right now” but “how long has this been building, and what did it look like at the start.”
The scaffold cliff: When support quietly becomes a hidden dependency
The most dangerous transition in this framework is the one Cynefin calls a cliff rather than a slope, and Wayshaping has a direct equivalent. A scaffold that is working well feels, from the inside, exactly like a pattern that has become self-sustaining. That is precisely what makes over-scaffolding so easy to miss and so damaging when it’s finally exposed.
This risk only applies to scaffolds that were meant to be temporary. Some scaffolds are genuinely built to stay, a checklist, a shared tool, a role whose whole job is to catch what people miss, and leaving those in place isn’t a cliff forming, it’s the scaffold doing exactly what it was designed to do. The cliff is specifically what happens to a scaffold that should have been temporary but never got reviewed. If it’s never tapered (the daily check-in that becomes permanent by default rather than by design, the template that removes any need to understand the process it encodes, the manager who quietly does the coordinating the team should have learned to do itself), the team doesn’t just plateau. It becomes brittle. Nothing has actually been entrained underneath the support; the appearance of a stable new habit is really just the scaffold working continuously and invisibly. Then the scaffold is removed (the manager leaves, the tool is deprecated, budget cuts remove the standing meeting), and the pattern doesn’t degrade gracefully. It collapses, all at once, back to the original behaviour, often worse than before because the team never built the capability the scaffold was meant to develop.
The warning signs look almost identical to Cynefin’s signs of drift towards the Clear-to-Chaos cliff: nobody questions why the scaffold is still there, removing it “just for a week” generates disproportionate anxiety, and no one on the team could describe how to do the task without the support in place. The first, most useful question when you notice any of these signs is simply whether this scaffold was ever meant to come off in the first place, if it wasn’t, there’s no cliff to worry about. If it was, the corrective is the same discipline described in the scaffolds tool above, namely a review date set at installation and a genuine test of whether the behaviour survives a temporary reduction in support, but it’s worth naming as a distinct dynamic in its own right, because it’s usually invisible until the cliff edge arrives.
The shock, scaffold and rhythm cycle: How durable change actually consolidates
The healthiest movement in Wayshaping, like the healthiest movement in Cynefin, is circular rather than linear, and it doesn’t only apply to the rare, dramatic kind of shock. A shock, at any intensity, disrupts an entrenched, stable but unwanted pattern. A scaffold then protects the new, fragile alternative long enough for it to stabilise. As the pattern stabilises, it can be deliberately attached to an existing rhythm (a sprint boundary, a weekly ritual) so that it inherits that rhythm’s momentum and no longer needs active scaffolding to recur. At that point, the rhythm itself has effectively become the new baseline: the equivalent of a habit that has moved into Cynefin’s Clear domain, reliable and no longer requiring active attention.
This cycle runs constantly at the low-intensity end, a small, deliberate disruption to a stale meeting format, scaffolded for a few weeks with a new agenda template, eventually just becomes how the team runs meetings, with nobody thinking of it as a shock at all anymore. The same cycle also runs at the rare, high-intensity end, a genuine reorganisation, scaffolded carefully through the transition, eventually settling into the new normal. It’s the same three-step movement either way, just at different scales.
The shock that starts the cycle doesn’t always have to be one a leader deliberately creates, either. Sometimes it’s already happened, a bad quarter, an unexpected departure, a market shift, and the leadership task isn’t deciding whether to trigger a disruption, it’s recognising that one has already landed and moving straight to the scaffolding step before the moment passes.
This is good, but it is not the end of the story, because the same baseline that offers stability now can itself become brittle later, exactly as described above. Organisations that understand this cycle build in periodic review of even their well-established rhythms, not because something is wrong, but because every stable pattern is a candidate for the next scaffold cliff if the context around it moves and nobody notices. The leader’s job across the full cycle isn’t to pick shock, scaffold or rhythm once. It’s to recognise which stage of the cycle a given behaviour is currently in, and to know that today’s hard-won rhythm is next year’s candidate for renewed disruption.
Regression and recovery: What to do when a change effort collapses back
Every change effort eventually meets a moment where the new behaviour reverts: a busy quarter, a change in team composition, a crisis that consumes everyone’s attention. The instinct, especially for a leader who feels the pressure of having “lost ground”, is to respond with a bigger shock: a sterner mandate, a more dramatic relaunch, a public commitment designed to force compliance. This is usually the wrong move, for the same reason that a shock without scaffolding produces trauma rather than growth in the first instance: a system that has just regressed has, by definition, less capacity to absorb disruption than it did at the original launch, not more.
The more reliable sequence mirrors Cynefin’s account of recovering from chaos: stabilise first, at a smaller scale than before, before pushing for anything ambitious again. Reinstall a lighter scaffold at a size the team can actually sustain right now. Only once that smaller pattern is holding should you revisit whether the original alignment diagnosis was even correct. Regression is often the first honest signal that an alignment problem was present at launch and got missed, not evidence that people have simply lost their nerve.
The alignment pause
There is a specific moment in most change efforts that deserves its own name: the point where the signals are genuinely mixed, some parts of a team are complying, some aren’t, some seem committed in one context and not another, and it isn’t yet clear which of the three coordination challenges is actually driving what you’re seeing. The temptation here is to force a decision: pick a tool, apply it, see what happens. Wayshaping’s equivalent of Cynefin’s aporetic pause is to resist that temptation and run the relational change model deliberately before acting further, because applying a scaffold to what’s actually an alignment problem just produces a support structure people quietly resent and route around, and applying a shock to what’s actually an anticipation problem produces disruption with no capacity-building underneath it. The pause costs a small amount of time. Guessing wrong costs the whole effort.
The stewardship challenge: managing the flow of stress over the life of the effort
Taken together, these dynamics point to a single underlying discipline: leading change well is not a matter of correctly picking one tool at the outset and executing it. It’s the continuous modulation of stress on the system over the full arc of the effort: enough scaffolding to protect a fragile pattern, but not so much that nothing is ever entrained; enough disruption, at whatever scale the moment calls for, to move an entrenched pattern, but never without support; enough rhythm to make a gain durable, without mistaking durability for permanence. The leader’s real skill is not knowing which domain they started in, but sensing where the effort is now, in its own life cycle, and adjusting the flow of stress accordingly.
Leading accordingly, for yourself and for others
A team is a self-collective that is, a nested network with its own levels and its own competing demands, and you’re part of that system as well, not just observing it from outside. Leading change well means holding a few principles about how these tools combine, whether you’re applying them to a team or to your own follow-through.
Probe before you commit to one story: Resist naming the one correct coordination challenge before you’ve tried anything. Run two or three small, different moves at once where you can, a scaffold here, a stigmergic trace there, and let what amplifies or fizzles tell you what you were actually dealing with. The most common leadership error isn’t picking the wrong tool, it’s picking one tool from a single upfront diagnosis and betting everything on it being correct.
Design change as scaffold-and-shock combinations, never one alone: A reorganisation with no support structure is a shock with no scaffold, disorientation, not learning. A wellness programme that disrupts nothing is a scaffold with no shock, comfortable and largely inert. This applies at every intensity, not just the dramatic end.
Build environments, not just messages: You cannot hold every team member’s intention in their head for them, and you can’t rely on holding your own there either. Change what’s easy, defaults, templates, physical layout, the first five minutes of a meeting, for the people you’re supporting and for yourself.
Walk the three domains before assuming motivation is the problem: personal, interpersonal, ecological, whether you’re diagnosing someone else’s stalled effort or your own.
Look back before deciding what happened, rather than checking against a plan made in advance: Expect divergence, and treat it as information gathered along the way. Reviewing what actually occurred and adjusting is the practice itself, not a sign the practice failed.
Reflection questions
- What’s the one idea from this that I’m most likely to actually use, and what would using it look like this week?
- How does this compare with how I already tend to support change, what does it confirm I’m doing well, and what does it challenge?
- Where have I seen the intention-action gap play out in my own team recently, and would I have described it the same way before reading this?
- Is there a tool here that feels uncomfortable or counterintuitive to me specifically, and what might that discomfort be telling me?
- Who around me could I try one small part of this with, and what would tell me, honestly, whether it helped?
Sources:
Bickhard, M.H. (1992) ‘Scaffolding and self-scaffolding: central aspects of development’, in Winegar, L.T. and Valsiner, J. (eds.) Children’s development within social context: volume II: research and methodology. Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, pp. 33–52.
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MAIN SOURCE: James, M.M., Jamaluddin, M., Froese, T., Belhadi, A., Panagiotou, A. and Snowden, D. (2025) ‘Wayshaping: a multiscale framework for behavior change’. PsyArXiv [Preprint]. Available at: https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/tp9wr_v4 (Accessed: 22 August 2026).
Milkman, K. (2021) How to change: the science of getting from where you are to where you want to be. New York: Portfolio.
Sheeran, P. (2002) ‘Intention–behaviour relations: a conceptual and empirical review’, European Review of Social Psychology, 12(1), pp. 1–36. doi: 10.1080/14792772143000003.




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